Thursday, November 6, 2014

Why Putin Needs to Conquer the Baltic States

Putin has a lot of killing to finish in Ukraine, and so one may ask, "Does he have the nerve and the means to finish the job in the Baltics?"

The answer:  he has no choice.

No, it's not just Strelkov agitating against him:  it's the future of Russia at stake:  Russia must break the EU and make it submit to Russian patronage.

What are the mechanics?  Let's review how this would work:

1) Russia invades Baltics.
2) EU inveighs and menaces yet does nothing.
3) Russia completes conquest.
4) Nationalists and anti-Brussels/Nationalist/syndicate factions in EU see the moral, intellectual, and spiritual vacuum in Brussels and in establishment EU elite, and they SWEEP elections or impose crippling protests that cause, this time, governments to crumble.  The era of humiliation from ECB is over, and the Euro collapses (or is "redefined").
5) Putin backs a new, pro-Russian elite, and helps them insinuate themselves to the top positions of the EU elite.
6) In exchange for Putin's support, the newer, smaller EU will be expected to help "support" Russia and "expand trade" (extortion, I would assume), in addition to helping forestall US trade deals and impose protectionism on IP and goods from anti-Russian nations.  This effort would find support from unions and nationalistic European groups, who fear American hegemony and Brussels' nihilistic and inhumane austerity.

Saturday, September 27, 2014

The Myth of "Overcapacity", or Moloch's Utility

In cozy offices around the world, blithe people make predictions about this and that.  They adjust the thermostat, answer their phones, consume whatever food they desire immediately upon demand, and otherwise have a comfortable, easy life.

One discussion that rankled me to the point of expressing my thoughts in a blog post entails that of "overcapacity".  Let's make something VERY clear:  the bulk of mankind is deprived:  deprived of quality medicine, clean water, loving attention, nutricious food, quality infrastructure, and recourse against injustices committed against them.

The ONLY REASON you have an apparent "overcapacity" comes from a deprivation of the powerless in this world.  The wealth of the world continues to hoard into larger yet fewer piles, thereby starving those people on the outside, and those who control the hoards of wealth offer them birth control, abortion, and euthanasia as "solutions".

If we had proper revolution and a more humane global order, the "demand" would prove staggering for these "surperflous" goods.

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

The reconquest of Kievan Rus (and Estonia, later) by Putin Khan

Ukraine is lost.

Many brave Ukrainians sacrificed everything for their country and their freedom, but they will fall before the baleful horde from the East.  Just as Russian noblemen died many glorious deaths in battle against the Khan, the brave Ukrainians fighting the reincarnation of the Horde also face doom and annihilation.

Why?  Simple:  Ukraine alone can not defeat the Horde, and Ukraine WILL REMAIN ALONE IN THIS FIGHT.

Putin Khan's victory, which is the reconquest of territories conquered by Batu Khan, will be fulfilled only with the capitulation of Odessa to "Novorossiya".  To slowly win all this territory, Putin Khan must make Ukraine as isolated as possible.  Now, this could technically be a challenge if the US had a real President, but since the US is ruled by arrogant oligarchs and administered by fools, there is no chance of success against Putin Khan.

Firstly, Putin Khan will distract, drain, and isolate the US with an idiotic sideshow in Syria and Iraq against ISIS.  Already, America is alone (the French participation is a joke).

Secondly, he has already coordinated with Hulagu Khan assaults in the Occident against all puppet-US regimes, and given the effectiveness of US security against "incursions" in Libya, the petty tyrants will tremble before the baleful Hulagu Khan.

Now, America is spread thin, entangling all possible allies into complicated, intractable, and perpetual conflicts in Hulagu Khan's frontier.  How much more patience will the Germans have for the Americans?  Will they trust their leadership when Obama fails -- AGAIN -- (and he will fail:  I guarantee that), when he tries to have them support a far more dangerous, costly, and local conflict in their backyard?

No, I didn't think so.

Ukraine is lost.

Friday, September 12, 2014

Zuckerberg and Tolkien: Ducunt Fata volentum, nolentum trahunt

JRR Tolkien and Zuckerberg, while not the ideal comparison of men, will suffice for the exercise to occur below:

  • Inherently gifted (Tolkien in writing and language, while Zuck is a natural coder)
  • Focused on their work
  • Private
  • Both have cults
This will be a short post, as I have had a long day, but I am writing it because I made a promise to a friend of mine, and I keep my promises.

Many decry (this season, it's the GOP's turn) Zuckerberg's opinions on immigration and amnesty for illegal immigrants already in the country.  The question begs, "Is Zuck off?"

I answer:  no.  Zuck is entirely "in form" and consonant with the rest of the orchestra, neither leading nor lagging:  Zuck is in form for today's America.

Contrast with JRR Tolkien, consummate academic, scholar, and novelist sans pareil.  He enlisted in the British military and actually saw action, lost friends in horrible deaths, and suffered constantly from trench-related diseases.

Question:  would Tolkien, today, agree or disagree with Zuck, and would Zuck in 1916 refuse to join the British military?

Indulge your imagination and ponder this, as my question is inherently "non-falsifiable", but I wager bottom-dollar hypothecated from own eyes that Zuck would have enlisted in the British military in 1916, and likewise Tolkien wouldn't have understood the aversion to amnesty and more open immigration today.

The real problem is the State has let us down, and yes, it IS decaying, and yes, the transition WILL be difficult, but recall Spengler's last words from "Decline of the West":

ducunt fata volentum, nolentum trahunt

Thursday, July 3, 2014

ExIm Bank: Teabagging Idiocy & Taleb's "Salaryman" problem

The ExIm Bank is an indispensable institution to help promote US trade:  without the ExIm Bank, small businesses simply can not export meaningful quantities of, well, anything without inordinate cost and risk. Regarding aircraft leasing, ExIm should be proud of its accomplishments in crushing Airbus.

 The morons who say the "private sector" should act the role of the ExIm Bank clearly have no experience in global trade or running a start-up business:  banks will NOT do ANYTHING, with ANYONE, unless there is basically no risk.

All "non-sexy" American companies have been hyper-risk averse, since the crash, and for good reason:  2008 was a brutal attack on the sinecures of thousands of well-paid managers, and mgmt wants to preserve its status, even at the cost of opportunity.  In some cases, it's truly justified, as in the power industry, where constantly changing regulations make it impossible to invest with a 20 year horizon.  In other cases, it's an intuitive sense of unease, a deep, atavistic fear of "losing it all", which comes from an intuitive understanding that one has no real value in his role and could be replaced by someone cheaper and possibly better.  This FEAR plagues all mgmt in all big, non-sexy companies.  Taleb has identified this "salaryman" practice as a key defect in Western society, and it needs to be replaced by a per capita welfare distribution, with all gains made in commerce just capital gains as opposed to a "guaranteed salary".

I would encourage a teabagger to start a company that makes, say, pickles, and try to export them to Japan.  Go talk to Chase about trade credit.  Oh, they're not interested in your company:  too inchoate and small?  That's unfortunate.  Perhaps you can slog it out for 5 years in the domestic market, while a Russian company with mafia subsidies floods Japanese pickle market.  3 years later, you go bankrupt, and perhaps your company would've been a huge hit in Japan, but you'll never know, now, will you?

I hope someone can find a stake to stick in the heart of the people sincerely against the ExIm bank, because they will only hurt their own.

DHS vs Blackwater: Battle of the American Siloviki

As America's political system continues to sunder and desicate, both wings of govenrment, either privately or even publicly, advocate a military totalitarian solution to the intractable politics facing us, now.  Exacerbating the issue are people on the left and right voting for the most extreme part of either wing, since the moderates are not trusted to have the conviction to stand for principle at any cost.

I have seen this happen in Israel, and it's a result of total political paralysis resulting from a "civil" civil-war, which we face, today, in the US.

However, my purpose here is not to examine the decline and fall of the Republic and its metapmorphisis into Caesarism, as predicted by our prophet, Oswald Spengler.  No, my interest lies elsewhere:  the future of power in the US.

Right now, MONEY, and MONEY alone rules.  The oligarchs in Silicon Valley and other urban areas have little doubt in the tenure of their reign:  you can see it in their triumphalism, their anti-historical vision of mankind and the future:  Icarus isn't flying close to the sun:  he flies straight INTO IT.

We are reaching a point where the money in the US has become so a-national, its efforts to castrate the US defense establishment will force the American defense elite to either die-off or morph into the giant gendarmie of DHS, a humiliating and servile end for any warrior.

However, they have hope:  as many in the Right publicly yearn for an "American Putin", the warrior caste in the US will prove essential for crushing the power of the Left oligarchs, and eventually, oligarchs in general (except for the loyal ones, just like in Russia).  

What would Blackwater do, as the new warrior-caste in the US under Putinism?  Simple:  intimidate, torture, and kill any foes of the new regime.  The "foes" may include the children of Bahamian private bankers holding trustee cash for oligarchs seeking to avoid expropriation under American Putinism, the Left oligarchs themselves, and any intellectuals or artists who object to American Putinism.  All of these targets I just enumerated would be considered legitimate by your typical "angry Patriot", today, and so don't think there won't be a very, very strong mandate for torturing and killing these people.

If you argue that there would be severe economic consequences because of American Putinism, I encourage you to ask an "angry Patriot" if he would accept living barefoot and the cold the rest of life in exchange for having all the smug oligarchs and their families massacred.  If you have any imagination, you already know the answer.

Right now, Blackwater is an "off-shore" entity, but at some point, it will come back home:  Eric Prince has an apt last name, as he'll be a natural "interior minister" for the Fascist American Republic.

As for DHS vs. Blackwater, it's a simple war between cop and warrior:  simple, because we already know who wins.  The dark power in the Right knows this.

Friday, June 27, 2014

Putin's latest Export: Dangerous Men

Putin continues his provocations E. Ukraine and has no reason to stop, despite his conciliatory feints.  One of the major incentives for him not to quit is actually an internal need to extirpate ultra-nationalists from Russia itself and weaken possible opportunists within the FSB.  Analogous to what Yassir Arafat did with his "Black September" gang(although, Arafat just had them marry and settle down), Putin's plan still has upside even if his infiltration and provocation completely fails in Donetsk and Lugansk:   he eliminates another domestic threat.

The Russian army units on the border with Ukraine have orders to not let any infiltrators return... alive.  Putin anticipated trouble from frustrated E. Ukraine "veterans", armed and eager for a fight, looking for "their share" of the Russian "dream" (I know:  keep laughing).  Convoys of frustrated, angry Russian men constitute an intolerable risk for Putin, and so any retreating infiltrators will be shot.

Also, if the infiltrators know they either return with their shield or upon it, Putin determined they will fight ruthlessly and bravely, thereby increasing the odds of his success in these two regions.

In a country where dissenters end up on a meat-hook, you can never be too cynical.